BJP OR CONGRESS – WHO WILL WIN?
The Assembly elections in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Assam and Union Territory of Puducherry will be held between April 4, 2016 and May 16, 2016, spread over 43 days. In Kerala total seats are 140, Tamil Nadu 234, Assam 126, West Bengal 294 and Panducherry 30. One interesting thing which I have noticed is that even in the country’s young political outcry, and the five states going to the polls, in most of these states the elderly faces are at stake. Leave one or two exceptions, the elderly leader of Indian politics are either contesting or guiding the force.
In Tamil Nadu, the DMK supremo Karunanidhi who is more than 90 years of age is still leading the elections. His son MK Stalin has said that He (Karunanidhi) will be presented as the chief ministerial candidate. Anna DMK supremo 68-year-old Jayalalithaa is elections star. In Puducherry 65 years old Chief Minister N Rangasamy is leading the elections. In Kerala 72 years old Oommen Chandy Hankudhar is front face of the Congress and elections are being fought under his leadership. In Assam Congress has given the command to 80 years old Hakasm Tarun Gogoi. since 2015 he is the Chief Minister of the state. Meanwhile, in West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee is the face of TMC and on behalf of the party Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee and Biman Bose took charge of the promotion. BJP and RSS both are giving high importance to the Assam elections. Focus on Assam this time around is understandable given the back-to-back drubbing the BJP received in Delhi and Bihar. The other states that go to the polls in 2016 are Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Kerala and West Bengal. These states are unlikely to produce a spectacular electoral showing for the party. Assam could prove to be the saving grace for BJP in 2016?
The performance of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections in Assam was nothing short of spectacular. It won 7 out of 14 seats and garnered 37% of the votes. Its closest rival, the Indian National Congress (INC) won 3 seats and got a 30% vote share. To put this in perspective, the BJP in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections had won only 4 seats and a 16% of the votes. Thus, the party’s vote share more than doubled while its seats nearly doubled. Will the BJP be able to repeat its performance in the assembly election, has to be seen with great interest. The BJP has declared alliances with the Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) allocating it 24 of the 126 seats in the North-Eastern State and also with the Bharat Dharma Jana Sena (BJDS) in Kerala. In West Bengal, the Congress and Left parties have made alliances and in Tamil Nadu congress finalised the seat-sharing pact with Vijayakanth outfit DMDK.
The performance of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections in Assam was nothing short of spectacular. It won 7 out of 14 seats and garnered 37% of the votes. Its closest rival, the Indian National Congress (INC) won 3 seats and got a 30% vote share. To put this in perspective, the BJP in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections had won
only 4 seats and a 16% of the votes. Thus, the party’s vote share more than doubled while its seats nearly doubled. Will the BJP be able to repeat its performance in the assembly election, has to be seen with great interest. The BJP has declared alliances with the Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) allocating it 24 of the 126 seats in the North-Eastern State and also
with the Bharat Dharma Jana Sena (BJDS) in Kerala. In West Bengal, the Congress and Left parties have made alliances and in Tamil Nadu congress finalised the seat-sharing pact with Vijayakanth outfit DMDK.
An alliance with the AGP, which is now a much weaker force but retains some influence, will help BJP, which emerged the largest party in the Lok Sabha polls in 2014, in consolidating Hindu votes in a State where the Muslim population of more than 35 per cent backs the UDF and Congress, BJP sources said. The BJP-led alliance will come out with a Common Minimum Programme soon. Another alliance made by the BJP was in Kerala where it struck a partnership with BJDS (popularly known as an organization Sree Narayana Dharma Paripalana (SNDP) Yogam) propagating the moral teachings and dharma of Shree Narayana Guru. BJP announced that all nationalist forces would come together to defeat the Congress-led dispensation as also the Left. The BJP, which is determined not just to “open account” in Kerala but also to become a decisive force in the Assembly in the upcoming State election, has completed the first stage of its poll preparations by drawing up a preliminary list of leading candidates. Meanwhile, the BJP in Tamil Nadu suffered a setback last week as Vijayakanth, the DMDK chief refused to make any electoral alliance for the upcoming Assembly election.So these 5 states elections are going to be big mela which will attract the attention all around the world.